In the quarterfinals of the Italian Open on Friday, world No. 13 Jannik Sinner will face world No. 5 Stefanos Tsitsipas. Tsitsipas won 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 in their last meeting at the Australian Open in January. Since Tsitsipas had just get better from elbow surgery, Sinner was favored in the match-up. But the Greek superstar blitzed him there, improving to 3-1 against the Italian in four career confrontations.
He turned Sinner’s career around after the humiliating defeat against Tsitsipas. After the Australian Open, the uber-talented 20-year-old switched coaches; Sinner has high standards for himself, and he thought his performance in that match was unacceptable. A few months later, the Italian will have the chance to show that he made the correct choice by changing teams, even if the results may take some time to appear.
Sinner is prompted by vengeance after being mortified.
Tsitsipas is unquestionably capable of winning, and this is a match-up in which he has previously excelled. It’s worth noting that Tsitsipas’ past four matches have all gone to a third set.
The Sinner should have a razor-sharp concentration in this one, as it matters more to him than Tsitsipas. That’s not to say Tsitsipas doesn’t want to win the event; he does, but Sinner is prompted by vengeance after being mortified the last time these two met. The 20-year-old is also playing in front of his home fans, so the odds are in his favor. Sinner rose to a new level in a comeback victory against world No. 18 Pablo Carreno Busta with the Miami audience behind him. We anticipate him to be just as pumped in this one, which might also affect Tsitsipas. It wouldn’t be the first time Tsitsipas became enraged when the crowd was not on his side.
Overall, Sinner being a +180 underdog versus Tsitsipas after being a -140 favorite when they rest in Melbourne is shocking. The Italian is capable of winning this match, but we’ll take the safer approach and support him to win at least one set. This safeguards you if Tsitsipas wins in a tight game.
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